Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.038236 0.041293 0.044503 0.048129 0.052118 0.056378 0.061280
2025-04-20 0.033399 0.037724 0.042518 0.048244 0.054927 0.062512 0.071820
2025-04-27 0.030460 0.035586 0.041505 0.048889 0.057916 0.068673 0.082582
2025-05-04 0.027850 0.033414 0.040050 0.048621 0.059504 0.073006 0.091247
2025-05-11 0.025828 0.031690 0.038877 0.048439 0.060985 0.077108 0.099761
2025-05-18 0.024111 0.030162 0.037759 0.048135 0.062151 0.080741 0.107802
2025-05-25 0.022729 0.028932 0.036890 0.048019 0.063459 0.084545 0.116279
2025-06-01 0.021301 0.027528 0.035669 0.047296 0.063812 0.086970 0.122887
2025-06-08 0.019963 0.026151 0.034379 0.046354 0.063737 0.088703 0.128522
2025-06-15 0.018930 0.025120 0.033485 0.045883 0.064259 0.091279 0.135575
2025-06-22 0.018013 0.024193 0.032671 0.045452 0.064775 0.093831 0.142741
2025-06-29 0.017041 0.023133 0.031605 0.044574 0.064532 0.095160 0.147979
2025-07-06 0.016550 0.022739 0.031477 0.045089 0.066469 0.100055 0.159629
2025-07-13 0.015941 0.022142 0.031020 0.045071 0.067557 0.103654 0.169385
2025-07-20 0.015538 0.021825 0.030952 0.045635 0.069593 0.108930 0.182565
2025-07-27 0.014950 0.021202 0.030390 0.045382 0.070261 0.111933 0.191873
2025-08-03 0.014426 0.020648 0.029903 0.045213 0.071043 0.115160 0.201873
2025-08-10 0.013910 0.020084 0.029370 0.044933 0.071606 0.118022 0.211413
2025-08-17 0.013469 0.019615 0.028960 0.044826 0.072448 0.121424 0.222322
2025-08-24 0.012929 0.018968 0.028240 0.044160 0.072260 0.122910 0.229472
2025-08-31 0.012377 0.018282 0.027426 0.043293 0.071654 0.123562 0.234931
2025-09-07 0.011950 0.017777 0.026884 0.042859 0.071799 0.125634 0.243582
2025-09-14 0.011554 0.017308 0.026379 0.042463 0.071982 0.127780 0.252589